Heighted market volatility over past several weeks has investors flocking to stable market segments such as fixed income, utilities and precious metals. Of the group, the one segment that has captured the media’s attention the most is precious metals, which is likely due to the reputation of being regarded as a safe haven during market selloffs. In the article below, we’ll take a look at a few charts from across the precious metals spectrum and try to determine how traders will look to position themselves over the weeks or months to come.
GraniteShares Platinum Shares ETF
Due to the relatively low level of platinum mined to date and shortage
of supply, this commodity is one of the world’s most sought after stores
of value. Investors who seek physical exposure to platinum often turn
to exchange traded funds such as GraniteShares Platinum Shares ETF (PLTM),
which is the lowest-cost physically backed platinum ETF on the market.
As you can see from the chart below, the 50-day moving average (blue
line) recently moved above the 200-day moving average (red line), as
shown by the blue circle. This bullish crossover is known by technical
traders as the golden cross and is used to mark the beginning of a
long-term uptrend. Given the proximity of the support levels the
risk-to-reward ratio is clearly in favor of the bulls and most will
likely protect against a sudden shift in sentiment by placing stop-loss
orders below $8.30.
SPDR Gold Shares
There are few charts across the precious metals segment that is a better
indication of the fear that is dominating the markets than the SPDR
Gold Shares Trust (GLD).
As you can see from the chart of the SPDR Gold Shares, the demand for
gold is extremely strong and the step-like pattern clearly shows that
there are no signs that the uptrend will reverse any time soon. As
investors continue their flight to safety, precious metals such as gold
and platinum will likely to be some of the market’s top beneficiaries.
In the case of platinum, you can see that it is in a much more favorable
position from the perspective of an active trader because it provides
nearby support levels for determining the placement of stop-loss orders.
Given the distance to the 200-day moving average, holders of gold will
likely be more susceptible to more volatile price fluctuations and
short-term opinion.
iShares Silver Trust
Silver prices are currently trading in one of the strongest uptrends
found anywhere in the public markets. As you can see from the chart of
the iShares Silver Trust (SLV),
the strong moves higher followed by brief periods of consolidation have
proven to be profitable setups in the past and many will expect this
behavior to continue into the future. More specifically, Monday’s close
above the dotted trendline will likely be used as confirmation of the
next leg higher and many will likely protect against a sudden selloff by
placing stop-loss orders below $15.75.
The Bottom Line
Most segments of the financial markets have experienced shifts in the
underlying uptrends over the past few weeks. As investors scramble to
seek shelter from the volatility many are turning to precious metals.
Based on the charts discussed above, precious metals look to have
promising upside remaining before any significant reversal.